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Market Musings

The FED is trying to control the inflation that its policies of zero interest caused. As a result, the economy is struggling and GDP has gone negative.

That is not a good recipe for the current administration heading into the mid-term election cycle although the Supreme Court decision on Roe vs. Wade might energize the Democratic base.

It is possible that GDP will be negative in the 2nd half of 2022 as well.

It would not be surprising to see China attacking Taiwan in the coming quarter. With the Russian/Ukraine conflict  continuing, the U.S. has drastically reduced its supply of certain weapons.

With the southern border being wide-open, it would not be surprising to find illegals that could wreck havoc if the U.S. tried to intervene in the China/Taiwan conflict as it starts. China & the drug cartels have a major monetary  interest in the continuing opioid drug trade.

Supply chain problems and rising interest rates are beginning to undermine all economic activity in the world with the reduction in the food supply a major problem going forward.

The Acc/Dis chart remains in negative territory suggesting that cash is a prudent position.

Remember -- "Only purchasing power counts!"

Setting definitive action points for held positions will be key to retaining profits in this market.

It is difficult to find long-term trading opportunities with the future so uncertain.

By any reasonable measure, this market is dangerous.

Be careful ....

To review the latest FlowChart, click here.

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